So when a group contains Germany, you can be expected to see it win the group with no worries, as the past 6 World Cup final tournaments have seen Germany top their group. Not for a while though have Germany gone into a tournament finals with a solitary win in their last 6 games. Three draws, one of which was a last minute equaliser against France, together with defeats to Brazil and Austria have left the current holders in an unusual position. Defeats against Austria don’t come often and in fact prior to 2018, the previous result was when Germany was separated and the then West Germany lost 4-1.
The build up has seen Leroy Sane dropped, Gundogan jeered but on the upside goalkeeper Manuel Neuer is back in the squad and the team captain despite being injured and not in training till May but in the grand scheme of things, stability at the back is only a good thing.
Their opponents though may smell blood as the Germans open up against Mexico who have the better form albeit two defeats in their six friendlies since qualifying. Sweden minus the national legend Ibrahimovic and South Korea have form that barely anything to shout out about.
Germany should turn on the style at the big stage shouldn’t they? The’ve never gone out in the group stage, well apart from the second group stage in Argentina 1978.
Mexico qualify for their 16th Finals competition where they hope to get past the last 16. Their best performance is the quarter finals which they achieved in 1970 and 1986 ( both hosted in Mexico. Since 1994, because they were banned from Italia 90, they have come unstuck in the last 16 losing to Argentina (2)Netherlands Germany USA and Bulgaria.
The El Tricolor will look to Javier Hernandez to help propel the nation to glory and reach his half century of goals. He is already the nations top scorer and it will be likely he has it for a few years yet. His nearest rivals will still be far behind him by the time Hernandez retired.
Will they have enough to get through? I think they just might take second spot. Who knows, if they can deny Germany a win then they just might win the group. We shall know on 17th June.
Sweden qualified for their twelfth finals by finishing second and denying the Dutch a playoff spot. Their reward was a two leg tie against Italy. The managed a 1-0 win and denied the Azzuri a World Cup finals for the first time since 1958. Since then it’s been a struggle. One goal in the last four games and three games in a row without scoring is not a good sign. Whilst moving on is a necessary thing in football, the decision though not to call up Zlatan Ibrahimovic may not be the best thing especially with a lack of goals and their attacking line up doesn’t look brilliant. Marcus Berg has 18 in 57 whilst Ola Toivenen 13 in 57 over an 11 year period. Ibrahimovic suffered a possible career ending injury, but bounced back to bag goals in the US. Yes Major League Soccer might not be the same standard but when you aren’t scoring, beggars can’t be choosers.
I can’t see Sweden progressing unless they can bag the goals. Third will be their best hope if they struggle.
Finally South Korea and boy what a mixed bag of results they have had. Two back to to back defeats post qualifiers saw an eight game unbeaten run only to undo that with one win in their last six . Two of those defeats saw them concede late or last minute winners. Conceding late goals is something that will cost the South Koreans dearly in the finals,especially when Germany and Mexico are your opponents.
They will be able to call on Tottenham’s Son Heung-Min, but will need him to replicate his club form rather than his international form otherwise it will be an early exit. This will be their ninth appearance and it will take a lot to repeat the dizzy heights of fourth in 2002.
Mexico win the group (Goal Difference) 2nd Germany, 3rd Sweden 4th South Korea